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You are here: Home / 2010 / October / 11 / Arkansas vs. BCS Champs vs. Auburn

Arkansas vs. BCS Champs vs. Auburn

By Sharp "Tusk" Williams on October 11, 2010

One fourteen second video will get you rollin’!


[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D0J4d89UOec[/youtube]

As you have followed different off-season posts you probably realized that several studied parts of football. Whether the post was “You Can’t Get There From Here” which challenged recruiting commentators to consider whether Coach Petrino develops players based his players in the NFL Draft or Kicking Around with SEC Close Game Leader which took an in-depth look at the relationship between field goals and wins in route to creating a new football maxim, “In close SEC Games a team lives by the 3 and dies by the 3 or lives by 6 and dies by 6,” we had no intention of leaving these posts as academic exercises. Those who were kind enough to follow Hog Database on facebook last Saturday knew that more Texas A&M turnovers were more likely immediately after the first one.

Hog Database About time! Aggies average 3 turnovers per game! Saturday at 3:51pm

Barb Kampbell And…another one.  Saturday at 3:57pm

Lucas Kunert Add another! Saturday at 3:57pm

You know the rest of the story.  The Hogs added two more turnovers including Tramain Thomas’ interception on the last play to seal the game.   Not everything works out as well as that sequence did, but the object is broader than being a “predictor.”

We need to know more about winning standards than simply the numbers under W and L on the Razorbacks’ Schedule.  Understanding the standards helps us to recognize and compliment what is good and push for change when things are bad.   We are all pulling the same direction after all!  Stats can correct our perceptions, like one which will hit you between the eyes in a moment, and let us know where our Razorbacks need to go.   When we know the way Razorback football is, we can begin discussing the way it should be.

Performance Standards of BCS Champions let’s compare Arkansas and Auburn in relation to the best in college football since 2000.

Sorting Here

Will Group Stats
by Unit
2010

Arkansas
Arkansas

Rank
Arkansas

Value
Difference

Rank
Difference

Value
BCS


Champ
Rank
BCS


Champ
Value
Difference

Rank
Difference

Value
Auburn

Rank
Auburn

Value
2010

Auburn
10Scoring Defense1315-7.91.35.113.7-40.97.64621.3Scoring Defense
11Pass Efffeciency Def.21107.6-14.8136.294.6-63.834.470129Pass Efffeciency Def.
9Total Defense19302.4-11.624.57.4277.9-32.656.940334.8Total Defense
4Scoring Offense5030-36.3-7.813.737.8-4.3-1.11836.7Scoring Offense
7Rushing Defense43134.6-29.338.813.795.8-0.3-0.11495.7Rushing Defense
5Passing Efficiency10165.74.516.814.5148.912.530.62179.5Passing Efficiency
14Turnover Margin80-0.4-63.9-1.416.11-36.9-0.8530.2Turnover Margin
8Pass Defense19167.84.8-14.223.8182-67.257.291239.2Pass Defense
3Total Offense194625.430.924.4431.114.451.910483Total Offense
1Rushing Offense96108-70.7-9125.319917.3778276Rushing Offense
15Net Punting5137-23.2027.837-63.2-39134.1Net Punting
16Punt Returns2711.42.8-1.229.812.6-38.2-4.9687.7Punt Returns
6Sacks Allowed **551.8-220.3331.55-0.3281.2Sacks Allowed **
12Sacks **43.430.60.934.62.5-1.40362.5Sacks **
17Kickoff Returns10918.5-62.2-3.246.821.7-12.20.45922.1Kickoff Returns
2Passing Offense335444.5121.747.5232.3-21.5-25.369207Passing Offense
13Tackles for Loss **157.638.61.453.66.243.61.8108Tackles for Loss **

** only  2005-2009  available.

When you understand that the Table is sorted by the average ranking of BCS Champions down the center, you may get a really good idea of what BCS Champions are good at. Four of the top five things BCS Champions do really well are about defense.

A negative number under “Difference” means a worse ranking and the number to the right is the difference in the value between the school’s performance and the BCS composite champion.

So have you figured some of this out yet?  The top two offensive categories which BCS Champions have been good at are Scoring Offense and Passing Efficiency.   The top overall categories for BCS Champions are Scoring Defense, Pass Efficiency Defense, and Total Defense with Rushing Defense tagging along.

Have you seen the shocking stat yet?  Don’t worry, you will know in a moment.

It is not that Auburn gets red flags for the three most important traits of BCS Champions.  The fact that Arkansas actually rates better at this point than the composite BCS Champions in Pass Defense likely qualifies.

Where does Arkansas need to be good in five days against a Gus Malzahn offense?

Sort by Column 1 on the left.  Just click the up or down arrow and follow No. 2 over to Auburn’s passing offense.

This year, the Hogs better stop the run because Auburn stinks at throwing the ball by Gus Malzahn standards.   The Hogs allow 143 yards per game on the ground while Auburn is racking up 276 yards per game running and a lackadaisical 207 yards per game through the air.

The truffle has been the biggest unreported story before the beginning of the year, Arkansas returns a defense which is better than anyone thinks.


Posted in Razorback History | Tagged 2010, Arkansas Football, Arkansas Razorback, Arkansas Razorback Football, Arkansas Razorbacks, Razorbacks Football

Article written by Sharp "Tusk" Williams

SharpTusk is a featured blogger on Hog Database. He won "2009 Blog Of The Year" as voted by members of SportingNews.com and has posts referenced by local and national sports writers. Sharp began writing about Arkansas Razorbacks Football during the coaching change in 2007 and hasn't stopped. He has an eye for interesting stats, and an occasional penchant for creative writing. He's sure to keep you coming back for more.

Follow Sharp "Tusk" Williams on Twitter

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