College Football Champion Index Week 11

College Football Champion Index™ is brought to you each week exclusively from Hog Database.

This week the CFCI ranks 23 of the BCS Top 25 teams which is the same as the best number this week of any of the BCS Polls. Both human polls rank 23 of the eventual BCS Top 25. Four of the BCS Computer Polls do the same although two, Kenneth Massey and Jeff Sagarin rank 22 and 21 respectively.

Both human polls and three of the 6 BCS polls rank LSU No. 1. All of the remaining have Oklahoma State as No. 2 although in the CFCI, Houston takes the second place. At the beginning of this effort it was possible to have a team from a lesser conference which ranked highly without a strength of schedule rating, and we’ve always conceded that one may be necessary. Before we resort to a strength of schedule, more study is needed to see if there are aspects of BCS Champions which distinguish them from teams in conferences where depth is not a premium.

College Football Champion Index™ Week 11

PR Change	PI Change	Wk. 10 PR	Wk. 10 PI	PR	Performance	CFCI Week 11	Elimination	ER	Wk. 10 EI	Wk. 10 ER	EI Change	ER Change
0	0.014	1	0.953	1	0.967	LSU	0.967	1	0.953	1	0.014	0
7	0.012	22	0.844	15	0.856	Houston	0.856	2	0.844	4	0.012	2
4	0.010	28	0.827	24	0.837	Oklahoma St.	0.837	3	0.827	5	0.010	2
0	0.002	2	0.948	2	0.950	Alabama	0.634	4	0.632	6	0.002	2
0	-0.005	5	0.916	5	0.911	Virginia Tech	0.607	5	0.611	7	-0.003	2
-3	-0.029	3	0.931	6	0.902	Stanford	0.602	6	0.931	2	-0.330	-4
2	0.000	11	0.878	9	0.878	Oklahoma	0.585	7	0.585	10	0.000	3
0	-0.008	10	0.883	10	0.875	Oregon	0.583	8	0.588	9	-0.005	1
-6	-0.032	7	0.893	13	0.860	Boise St.	0.573	9	0.893	3	-0.319	-6
-1	-0.011	13	0.868	14	0.858	Southern Miss.	0.572	10	0.579	11	-0.007	1
-3	-0.009	33	0.812	36	0.802	Clemson	0.535	11	0.541	13	-0.006	2
4	0.015	48	0.779	44	0.794	Arkansas	0.529	12	0.519	14	0.010	2
1	0.003	4	0.924	3	0.927	Wisconsin	0.464	13	0.462	15	0.002	2
4	0.038	8	0.887	4	0.925	Georgia	0.462	14	0.443	16	0.019	2
-2	-0.021	9	0.887	11	0.866	Cincinnati	0.433	15	0.591	8	-0.158	-7
8	0.014	20	0.849	12	0.864	Michigan	0.432	16	0.425	20	0.007	4
3	0.005	19	0.850	16	0.855	Arkansas St.	0.428	17	0.425	19	0.003	2
5	0.005	23	0.843	18	0.848	Michigan St.	0.424	18	0.421	21	0.003	3
-5	-0.013	14	0.861	19	0.848	TCU	0.424	19	0.431	17	-0.007	-2
-3	-0.012	17	0.856	20	0.844	Penn St.	0.422	20	0.571	12	-0.149	-8
-2	-0.004	24	0.832	26	0.828	South Carolina	0.414	21	0.416	22	-0.002	1
-3	-0.006	35	0.805	38	0.799	Nebraska	0.400	22	0.402	24	-0.003	2
-8	-0.012	43	0.791	51	0.779	Kansas St.	0.389	23	0.395	25	-0.006	2
21	0.053	29	0.827	8	0.879	Florida St.	0.352	24	0.331	29	0.021	5
-7	-0.021	15	0.861	22	0.840	Texas	0.336	25	0.431	18	-0.095	-7
-2	-0.005	21	0.844	23	0.840	Ohio	0.336	26	0.338	28	-0.002	2
5	0.017	36	0.803	31	0.820	Nevada	0.328	27	0.321	31	0.007	4
-8	-0.020	25	0.831	33	0.811	Georgia Tech	0.325	28	0.415	23	-0.091	-5
5	0.009	39	0.797	34	0.805	Northern Ill.	0.322	29	0.319	33	0.004	4
6	0.009	41	0.795	35	0.804	Notre Dame	0.321	30	0.318	35	0.004	5
1	0.000	38	0.802	37	0.802	San Diego St.	0.321	31	0.321	32	0.000	1
14	0.024	54	0.773	40	0.797	BYU	0.319	32	0.309	40	0.010	8
13	0.022	56	0.772	43	0.795	Tulsa	0.318	33	0.309	41	0.009	8
-2	0.003	46	0.780	48	0.783	Virginia	0.313	34	0.312	38	0.001	4
0	0.002	52	0.774	52	0.776	Baylor	0.310	35	0.310	39	0.001	4
3	0.002	58	0.770	55	0.772	Rutgers	0.309	36	0.308	42	0.001	6
-11	-0.010	45	0.781	56	0.771	West Virginia	0.308	37	0.312	37	-0.004	0
-1	-0.008	6	0.901	7	0.893	Temple	0.298	38	0.300	44	-0.003	6
-5	-0.019	60	0.763	65	0.744	La.-Lafayette	0.297	39	0.382	26	-0.084	-13
2	0.001	71	0.739	69	0.740	Wyoming	0.296	40	0.296	46	0.000	6
1	0.002	18	0.853	17	0.855	South Fla.	0.285	41	0.284	48	0.001	7
-9	-0.033	12	0.873	21	0.840	Illinois	0.280	42	0.349	27	-0.069	-15
0	0.000	30	0.821	30	0.822	Toledo	0.274	43	0.274	50	0.000	7
10	0.021	49	0.777	39	0.799	FIU	0.266	44	0.259	53	0.007	9
1	0.003	42	0.793	41	0.796	Louisiana Tech	0.265	45	0.264	52	0.001	7
13	0.023	55	0.772	42	0.796	California	0.265	46	0.257	57	0.008	11
-13	-0.027	32	0.817	45	0.790	Arizona St.	0.263	47	0.327	30	-0.064	-17
-6	-0.008	40	0.795	46	0.788	Ohio St.	0.263	48	0.318	34	-0.056	-14
10	0.012	59	0.770	49	0.782	Utah	0.261	49	0.257	59	0.004	10
-1	0.000	53	0.774	54	0.774	North Carolina	0.258	50	0.258	56	0.000	6
-15	-0.030	44	0.787	59	0.757	Iowa	0.252	51	0.315	36	-0.063	-15
14	0.032	76	0.717	62	0.749	Eastern Mich.	0.250	52	0.239	68	0.011	16
-5	-0.017	61	0.759	66	0.742	Washington	0.247	53	0.304	43	-0.056	-10
-5	-0.013	68	0.743	73	0.729	SMU	0.243	54	0.297	45	-0.054	-9
-2	-0.002	26	0.829	28	0.828	Texas A&M	0.237	55	0.276	49	-0.040	-6
-2	-0.004	27	0.828	29	0.823	Utah St.	0.235	56	0.236	69	-0.001	13
-9	-0.027	73	0.729	82	0.701	Auburn	0.234	57	0.291	47	-0.058	-10
5	0.010	37	0.803	32	0.813	Missouri	0.232	58	0.229	73	0.003	15
2	0.000	88	0.692	86	0.692	Iowa St.	0.231	59	0.231	72	0.000	13
-16	-0.035	31	0.819	47	0.784	Mississippi St.	0.224	60	0.273	51	-0.049	-9
-3	0.001	47	0.779	50	0.780	Northwestern	0.223	61	0.223	74	0.000	13
1	0.000	99	0.665	98	0.665	Ball St.	0.222	62	0.222	75	0.000	13
-2	-0.001	51	0.776	53	0.775	Miami (FL)	0.221	63	0.259	55	-0.037	-8
7	0.012	64	0.752	57	0.764	Pittsburgh	0.218	64	0.215	76	0.003	12
-8	-0.015	50	0.776	58	0.761	Louisville	0.217	65	0.259	54	-0.041	-11
17	0.037	77	0.717	60	0.754	Vanderbilt	0.215	66	0.205	79	0.011	13
2	-0.006	65	0.750	63	0.745	North Carolina St.	0.213	67	0.250	62	-0.037	-5
-7	-0.027	57	0.771	64	0.744	Hawaii	0.213	68	0.257	58	-0.044	-10
-5	-0.015	62	0.756	67	0.741	Air Force	0.212	69	0.252	60	-0.040	-9
-5	-0.015	63	0.755	68	0.740	Syracuse	0.212	70	0.252	61	-0.040	-9
0	0.000	70	0.739	70	0.739	Connecticut	0.211	71	0.211	77	0.000	6
-5	-0.013	66	0.748	71	0.735	Florida	0.210	72	0.249	63	-0.039	-9
-5	-0.013	67	0.743	72	0.730	Western Mich.	0.209	73	0.248	64	-0.039	-9
5	0.014	79	0.714	74	0.727	Purdue	0.208	74	0.204	80	0.004	6
-11	-0.029	16	0.857	27	0.828	UCF	0.207	75	0.245	66	-0.038	-9
9	0.015	85	0.697	76	0.713	UTEP	0.204	76	0.199	83	0.004	7
-8	-0.030	69	0.742	77	0.712	Texas Tech	0.203	77	0.247	65	-0.044	-12
4	-0.001	83	0.708	79	0.706	Wake Forest	0.202	78	0.236	70	-0.034	-8
-6	-0.021	74	0.726	80	0.705	Western Ky.	0.202	79	0.242	67	-0.040	-12
-8	-0.016	87	0.694	95	0.679	UCLA	0.194	80	0.231	71	-0.038	-9
3	-0.001	78	0.716	75	0.715	Navy	0.179	81	0.179	88	0.000	7
4	-0.004	82	0.710	78	0.707	Miami (OH)	0.177	82	0.203	82	-0.026	0
3	0.007	84	0.699	81	0.705	Washington St.	0.176	83	0.175	90	0.002	7
13	0.020	97	0.677	84	0.697	North Texas	0.174	84	0.169	95	0.005	11
8	0.009	93	0.686	85	0.694	New Mexico St.	0.174	85	0.171	93	0.002	8
-12	-0.026	75	0.717	87	0.691	Tennessee	0.173	86	0.205	78	-0.032	-8
0	-0.002	89	0.691	89	0.689	Colorado St.	0.172	87	0.198	85	-0.025	-2
-10	-0.030	81	0.711	91	0.681	Bowling Green	0.170	88	0.203	81	-0.033	-7
1	-0.005	94	0.686	93	0.681	East Carolina	0.170	89	0.196	86	-0.026	-3
-11	-0.023	86	0.696	97	0.673	Marshall	0.168	90	0.199	84	-0.031	-6
11	0.021	72	0.733	61	0.754	La.-Monroe	0.168	91	0.163	97	0.005	6
12	0.033	111	0.622	99	0.654	Kent St.	0.164	92	0.155	99	0.008	7
-3	-0.014	80	0.713	83	0.699	Middle Tenn.	0.155	93	0.178	89	-0.023	-4
-5	-0.016	105	0.637	110	0.621	Kentucky	0.155	94	0.182	87	-0.027	-7
8	0.010	96	0.681	88	0.690	Fresno St.	0.153	95	0.170	94	-0.017	-1
-2	-0.005	92	0.686	94	0.680	Army	0.151	96	0.171	92	-0.020	-4
-6	-0.013	90	0.690	96	0.677	Rice	0.150	97	0.173	91	-0.022	-6
-3	-0.010	101	0.652	104	0.641	Duke	0.143	98	0.163	96	-0.020	-2
2	0.007	108	0.628	106	0.634	Boston College	0.141	99	0.139	108	0.001	9
-1	0.000	107	0.631	108	0.631	San Jose St.	0.140	100	0.158	98	-0.018	-2
1	-0.005	91	0.690	90	0.685	Maryland	0.137	101	0.153	100	-0.016	-1
1	0.002	113	0.613	112	0.615	Troy	0.137	102	0.153	101	-0.017	-1
2	0.009	115	0.596	113	0.605	UNLV	0.134	103	0.149	102	-0.015	-1
-2	-0.016	100	0.662	102	0.647	Arizona	0.129	104	0.147	103	-0.018	-1
3	0.010	106	0.637	103	0.646	Kansas	0.129	105	0.141	107	-0.012	2
-2	-0.004	103	0.642	105	0.639	Central Mich.	0.128	106	0.143	105	-0.015	-1
-5	-0.014	102	0.648	107	0.633	Oregon St.	0.127	107	0.144	104	-0.017	-3
-5	-0.014	104	0.640	109	0.626	Buffalo	0.125	108	0.142	106	-0.017	-2
-2	-0.006	109	0.627	111	0.620	Ole Miss	0.124	109	0.139	109	-0.015	0
3	0.000	95	0.681	92	0.681	Indiana	0.124	110	0.124	114	0.000	4
-2	-0.021	112	0.616	114	0.595	Idaho	0.119	111	0.137	110	-0.018	-1
-1	-0.012	114	0.607	115	0.595	Minnesota	0.119	112	0.135	111	-0.016	-1
10	0.030	110	0.622	100	0.652	Colorado	0.118	113	0.113	116	0.005	3
-3	-0.020	98	0.668	101	0.647	Tulane	0.118	114	0.134	112	-0.016	-2
1	0.015	117	0.563	116	0.578	Memphis	0.116	115	0.125	113	-0.010	-2
1	0.020	118	0.554	117	0.574	UAB	0.115	116	0.111	117	0.004	1
-2	-0.007	116	0.567	118	0.560	Akron	0.102	117	0.113	115	-0.012	-2
0	0.000	119	0.541	119	0.540	Fla. Atlantic	0.098	118	0.108	118	-0.010	0
0	0.014	120	0.525	120	0.539	New Mexico	0.098	119	0.095	119	0.003	0
9	0.026	34	0.808	25	0.834	Southern California	0.000	120	0.000	120	0.000	0